To hike by 50bps in July or not to hike by 50bps next month, that’s the question. Actually, ECB-speakers have added another dimension, namely by suggesting that they might do 50bps in July, but in September or even later this year. In today’s Comment we will try to issue a verdict on the possibility of 50bps rate hikes in the near future. Note that our most recent ECB call on rates is 25bps hikes at every meeting this year after June. In any case, we start by discussing recent inflation figures before moving to a headcount of recent ECB-speakers.

 

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